Thursday, May 16, 2013

Wednesday - A Happy Moment and Catch Up Baseball

PS –Check Judi’s blog for news about the new addition to our little cat colony.
http://tazzydbell.blogspot.com/

This is a catch up of the status of the Padres and the two simulation leagues. A Padres mini resurgence (13-6 in the last 19 games) has placed them about where they are predicted to be. The simulated pitching is better than what the Padres are currently putting on the mound, but the blame for that comes mostly from Clayton Richard, who is 0-4 with a truly awful 8.54 ERA (that's almost a run every inning!) while his simulations come closer to what he was predicted to be doing: (2-6, 4.72 ERA, Promise), (3-2, 2.51 ERA, Reality). 

I'm getting predictable performances from the offense. The bottom line is that the 2013 version of the Padres looks a bit depressingly like the 2012 Padres. The good news is that the Padres nemesis, the Los Angeles Dodgers, are playing even worse. The Padres recently passed them in the standings. The Padres are paying around $74 million for their players. The Dodgers are paying over $200 million. 
The status as of 28 Apr (in case you all forgot :P ).
>
Comparison
W L GB
BA
Runs
ERA
Padres 2012
76 86 18.0
.247
651
4.01
Reality Autoplay
84 78 10.0
.243
667
3.69
Promise Autoplay
80 82 10.0
.249
688
3.81
2013 Season
W L GB
BA
Runs
ERA
Actual Results
9 15 5.5
.244
85
4.39
Reality Results
11 13 4.5
.255
94
4.08
Promise Results
11 13 3.5
.233
101
3.65
>
The status as of 15 May.
>
Comparison
W L GB
BA
Runs
ERA
Padres 2012
76 86 18.0
.247
651
4.01
Reality Autoplay
84 78 10.0
.243
667
3.69
Promise Autoplay
80 82 10.0
.249
688
3.81
2013 Season
W L GB
BA
Runs
ERA
Actual Results
18 21 4.5
.244
154
4.13
Reality Results
21 18 3.0
.245
157
3.67
Promise Results
17 22 7.5
.239
166
3.75
>
Happy is feeling a little bad about an incident at the Auction House. Happy was engrossed in getting his daily work done when a another player named Sung whispered him. I have a bad cold and some of that misery likely spread to Happy. Almond was in game as well, although I'm not sure how coherent Happy was in talking about the exchange with Sung.

Happy doesn't get whispered to very much, but he likes to chat about his work ... endlessly, so most of those who do talk to Happy suddenly decide to log off for some reason. Sung opened the conversation saying that Happy was making him rich. Well, that's a line I hadn't heard before. The long and short of it was that Happy was selling a mat (greater planar essence, if you must know) at 10g and Sung was disenchanting it into three lesser planars that he was selling for 10g each, a 20g profit. Sung claimed to have made 500g off of Happy. That's 25 planars, which would normally take three days to sell. Happy made 250g from that little rush of business, while Sung made his 500g. Good for him. Everybody happy.

Of course, once he told me that, Happy checked on the lesser planars that Sung was selling and underbid him. Happy doesn't usually deal in lesser planars, because there isn't much demand, but hey, if there is profit to be made, he's in, for as long as this little mini-demand lasted. As for Sung, if he'd just kept quiet he'd still be able to sell the lessers for 10g each. He can't sell them for 5g now, and I predict the price will keep dropping. What he did for Happy was drive up the prices of greater planars and Happy did quite well selling 10g planars for as much as 17g and further eroding Sung's profits. The bottom line is that Happy made more than 500g off of Sung and other buyers caught in the price war. 

I wonder if Sung learned the lesson. Don't give your secrets to a competitor. Sung stopped talking and logged off ... for some reason.

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